• The EU's integrated gas system showed a certain resilience against the energy crisis. Yet, the severe supply shock led to highly congested access to LNG terminals and pipelines, causing price surges, hub price disparities and trading disruptions.
• After the 2022 shock, the European gas market supply and demand balance improved thanks to consistent imports of Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) and a significant decreased gas demand. This resulted in gas prices to trend closer to pre-crisis levels.
• Global gas supply overall is still tight, exposing prices to unexpected developments. China’s LNG demand recovery remains an important influencing factor on EU gas prices going forward.
• The report highlights the lasting impact of the Russian supply shock on the EU energy market and the steps done to overcome the supply dependence. It draws some lessons for the future around the EU gas markets’ future resilience factors: increased EU reliance on LNG; reducing gas demand; revenue redistribution; and the enhanced security of supply role of underground storages.
  • European gas prices will be more exposed to global competition and hence will be more volatile.
  • The reduction in conventional gas demand shall assist the EU’s decarbonisation goals. Yet, it needs to be done smoothly in order to preserve the economic activity and the security of supply that gas offers to the EU’s energy system.

Access the ACER-CEER European gas market trends and price drivers report.

Dive into ACER’s interactive dashboard and explore the evolution of price and demand supply metrics for the period 2015 to 2023.

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